Studying
Supervised studying is a class of machine studying that makes use of labeled datasets to coach algorithms to foretell outcomes and acknowledge patterns.
Not like unsupervised studying, supervised studying algorithms are given labeled coaching to be taught the connection between the enter and the outputs.
Prerequisite: Linear algebra
Suppose now we have a regression downside the place the mannequin must predict steady values by taking n variety of enter options (xi).
The prediction worth is outlined as a perform known as speculation (h):

the place:
- θi: i-th parameter corresponding to every enter function (x_i),
- ϵ (epsilon): Gaussian error (ϵ ~ N(0, σ²)))
Because the speculation for a single enter generates a scalar worth (hθ(x)∈R), it may be denoted because the dot product of the transpose of the parameter vector (θT) and the function vector for that enter (x):

Batch Gradient Descent
Gradient Descent is an iterative optimization algorithm used to search out native minima of a perform. At every step, it strikes within the route reverse to the route of steepest descent to progressively decrease the perform’s worth — merely, preserve going downhill.
Now, recall now we have n parameters that influence the prediction. So, we have to know the particular contribution of the particular person parameter (θi) equivalent to coaching information (xi)) to the perform.
Suppose we set dimension of every step as a studying charge (α), and discover a value curve (J), then the parameter is deducted at every step such that:

(α: studying charge, J(θ): cost perform, ∂/∂θi: partial by-product of the fee perform with respect to θi)
Gradient
The gradient represents the slope of the fee perform.
Contemplating the remaining parameters and their corresponding partial derivatives of the fee perform (J), the gradient of the fee perform at θ for n parameters is outlined as:

Gradient is a matrix notation of partial derivatives of the fee perform with respect to all of the parameters (θ0 to θn).
Because the studying charge is a scalar (α∈R), the replace rule of the gradient descent algorithm is expressed in matrix notation:

Consequently, the parameter (θ) resides within the (n+1)-dimensional house.
Geographically, it goes downhill at a step equivalent to the training charge till reaching the convergence.

Computation
The target of linear regression is to reduce the hole (MSE) between predicted values and precise values given within the coaching dataset.
Price Operate (Goal Operate)
This hole (MSE) is outlined as a median hole of all of the coaching examples:

the place
- Jθ: value perform (or loss perform),
- hθ: prediction from the mannequin,
- x: i_th enter function,
- y: i_th goal worth, and
- m: the variety of coaching examples.
The gradient is computed by taking partial by-product of the fee perform with respect to every parameter:

As a result of now we have n+1 parameters (together with an intercept time period θ0) and m coaching examples, we’ll kind a gradient vector utilizing matrix notation:

In matrix notation, the place X represents the design matrix together with the intercept time period and θ is the parameter vector, the gradient ∇θJ(θ) is given by:

The LMS (Least Imply Squares) rule is an iterative algorithm that constantly adjusts the mannequin’s parameters based mostly on the error between its predictions and the precise goal values of the coaching examples.
Least Minimal Squares (LMS) Rule
In every epoch of gradient descent, each parameter θi is up to date by subtracting a fraction of the typical error throughout all coaching examples:

This course of permits the algorithm to iteratively discover the optimum parameters that reduce the fee perform.
(Notice: θi is a parameter related to enter function xi, and the objective of the algorithm is to search out its optimum worth, not that it’s already an optimum parameter.)
Regular Equation
To seek out the optimum parameter (θ*) that minimizes the fee perform, we will use the regular equation.
This methodology affords an analytical answer for linear regression, permitting us to straight calculate the θ worth that minimizes the fee perform.
Not like iterative optimization methods, the conventional equation finds this optimum by straight fixing for the purpose the place the gradient is zero, guaranteeing instant convergence:

Therefore:

This depends on the belief that the design matrix X is invertible, which suggests that each one its enter options (from x_0 to x_n) are linearly unbiased.
If X will not be invertible, we’ll want to regulate the enter options to make sure their mutual independence.
Simulation
In actuality, we repeat the method till convergence by setting:
- Price perform and its gradient
- Studying charge
- Tolerance (min. value threshold to cease the iteration)
- Most variety of iterations
- Start line
Batch by Studying Fee
The next coding snippet demonstrates the method of gradient descent finds native minima of a quadratic value perform by studying charges (0.1, 0.3, 0.8 and 0.9):
def cost_func(x):
return x**2 - 4 * x + 1
def gradient(x):
return 2*x - 4
def gradient_descent(gradient, begin, learn_rate, max_iter, tol):
x = begin
steps = [start] # information studying steps
for _ in vary(max_iter):
diff = learn_rate * gradient(x)
if np.abs(diff) < tol:
break
x = x - diff
steps.append(x)
return x, steps
x_values = np.linspace(-4, 11, 400)
y_values = cost_func(x_values)
initial_x = 9
iterations = 100
tolerance = 1e-6
learning_rates = [0.1, 0.3, 0.8, 0.9]
def gradient_descent_curve(ax, learning_rate):
final_x, historical past = gradient_descent(gradient, initial_x, learning_rate, iterations, tolerance)
ax.plot(x_values, y_values, label=f'Price perform: $J(x) = x^2 - 4x + 1$', lw=1, coloration='black')
ax.scatter(historical past, [cost_func(x) for x in history], coloration='pink', zorder=5, label='Steps')
ax.plot(historical past, [cost_func(x) for x in history], 'r--', lw=1, zorder=5)
ax.annotate('Begin', xy=(historical past[0], cost_func(historical past[0])), xytext=(historical past[0], cost_func(historical past[0]) + 10),
arrowprops=dict(facecolor='black', shrink=0.05), ha='heart')
ax.annotate('Finish', xy=(final_x, cost_func(final_x)), xytext=(final_x, cost_func(final_x) + 10),
arrowprops=dict(facecolor='black', shrink=0.05), ha='heart')
ax.set_title(f'Studying Fee: {learning_rate}')
ax.set_xlabel('Enter function: x')
ax.set_ylabel('Price: J')
ax.grid(True, alpha=0.5, ls='--', coloration='gray')
ax.legend()
fig, axs = plt.subplots(1, 4, figsize=(30, 5))
fig.suptitle('Gradient Descent Steps by Studying Fee')
for ax, lr in zip(axs.flatten(), learning_rates):
gradient_descent_curve(ax=ax, learning_rate=lr)

Predicting Credit score Card Transaction
Allow us to use a sample dataset on Kaggle to foretell bank card transaction utilizing linear regression with Batch GD.
1. Information Preprocessing
a) Base DataFrame
First, we’ll merge these 4 information from the pattern dataset utilizing IDs as the important thing, whereas sanitizing the uncooked information:
- transaction (csv)
- person (csv)
- bank card (csv)
- train_fraud_labels (json)
# load transaction information
trx_df = pd.read_csv(f'{dir}/transactions_data.csv')
# sanitize the dataset
trx_df = trx_df[trx_df['errors'].isna()]
trx_df = trx_df.drop(columns=['merchant_city','merchant_state', 'date', 'mcc', 'errors'], axis='columns')
trx_df['amount'] = trx_df['amount'].apply(sanitize_df)
# merge the dataframe with fraud transaction flag.
with open(f'{dir}/train_fraud_labels.json', 'r') as fp:
fraud_labels_json = json.load(fp=fp)
fraud_labels_dict = fraud_labels_json.get('goal', {})
fraud_labels_series = pd.Collection(fraud_labels_dict, identify='is_fraud')
fraud_labels_series.index = fraud_labels_series.index.astype(int)
merged_df = pd.merge(trx_df, fraud_labels_series, left_on='id', right_index=True, how='left')
merged_df.fillna({'is_fraud': 'No'}, inplace=True)
merged_df['is_fraud'] = merged_df['is_fraud'].map({'Sure': 1, 'No': 0})
merged_df = merged_df.dropna()
# load card information
card_df = pd.read_csv(f'{dir}/cards_data.csv')
card_df = card_df.exchange('nan', np.nan).dropna()
card_df = card_df[card_df['card_on_dark_web'] == 'No']
card_df = card_df.drop(columns=['acct_open_date', 'card_number', 'expires', 'cvv', 'card_on_dark_web'], axis='columns')
card_df['credit_limit'] = card_df['credit_limit'].apply(sanitize_df)
# load person information
user_df = pd.read_csv(f'{dir}/users_data.csv')
user_df = user_df.drop(columns=['birth_year', 'birth_month', 'address', 'latitude', 'longitude'], axis='columns')
user_df = user_df.exchange('nan', np.nan).dropna()
user_df['per_capita_income'] = user_df['per_capita_income'].apply(sanitize_df)
user_df['yearly_income'] = user_df['yearly_income'].apply(sanitize_df)
user_df['total_debt'] = user_df['total_debt'].apply(sanitize_df)
# merge transaction and card information
merged_df = pd.merge(left=merged_df, proper=card_df, left_on='card_id', right_on='id', how='interior')
merged_df = pd.merge(left=merged_df, proper=user_df, left_on='client_id_x', right_on='id', how='interior')
merged_df = merged_df.drop(columns=['id_x', 'client_id_x', 'card_id', 'merchant_id', 'id_y', 'client_id_y', 'id'], axis='columns')
merged_df = merged_df.dropna()
# finalize the dataframe
categorical_cols = merged_df.select_dtypes(embody=['object']).columns
df = merged_df.copy()
df = pd.get_dummies(df, columns=categorical_cols, dummy_na=False, dtype=float)
df = df.dropna()
print('Base information body: n', df.head(n=3))

b) Preprocessing
From the bottom DataFrame, we’ll select appropriate enter options with:
steady values, and seemingly linear relationship with transaction quantity.
df = df[df['is_fraud'] == 0]
df = df[['amount', 'per_capita_income', 'yearly_income', 'credit_limit', 'credit_score', 'current_age']]
Then, we’ll filter outliers past 3 normal deviations away from the imply:
def filter_outliers(df, column, std_threshold) -> pd.DataFrame:
imply = df[column].imply()
std = df[column].std()
upper_bound = imply + std_threshold * std
lower_bound = imply - std_threshold * std
filtered_df = df[(df[column] <= upper_bound) | (df[column] >= lower_bound)]
return filtered_df
df = df.exchange(to_replace='NaN', worth=0)
df = filter_outliers(df=df, column='quantity', std_threshold=3)
df = filter_outliers(df=df, column='per_capita_income', std_threshold=3)
df = filter_outliers(df=df, column='credit_limit', std_threshold=3)
Lastly, we’ll take the logarithm of the goal worth quantity
to mitigate skewed distribution:
df['amount'] = df['amount'] + 1
df['amount_log'] = np.log(df['amount'])
df = df.drop(columns=['amount'], axis='columns')
df = df.dropna()
*Added one to quantity to keep away from destructive infinity in amount_log column.
Closing DataFrame:

c) Transformer
Now, we will break up and rework the ultimate DataFrame into prepare/check datasets:
categorical_features = X.select_dtypes(embody=['object']).columns.tolist()
categorical_transformer = Pipeline(steps=[('imputer', SimpleImputer(strategy='most_frequent')),('onehot', OneHotEncoder(handle_unknown='ignore'))])
numerical_features = X.select_dtypes(embody=['int64', 'float64']).columns.tolist()
numerical_transformer = Pipeline(steps=[('imputer', SimpleImputer(strategy='mean')), ('scaler', StandardScaler())])
preprocessor = ColumnTransformer(
transformers=[
('num', numerical_transformer, numerical_features),
('cat', categorical_transformer, categorical_features)
]
)
X_train_processed = preprocessor.fit_transform(X_train)
X_test_processed = preprocessor.rework(X_test)
2. Defining Batch GD Regresser
class BatchGradientDescentLinearRegressor:
def __init__(self, learning_rate=0.01, n_iterations=1000, l2_penalty=0.01, tol=1e-4, persistence=10):
self.learning_rate = learning_rate
self.n_iterations = n_iterations
self.l2_penalty = l2_penalty
self.tol = tol
self.persistence = persistence
self.weights = None
self.bias = None
self.historical past = {'loss': [], 'grad_norm': [], 'weight':[], 'bias': [], 'val_loss': []}
self.best_weights = None
self.best_bias = None
self.best_val_loss = float('inf')
self.epochs_no_improve = 0
def _mse_loss(self, y_true, y_pred, weights):
m = len(y_true)
loss = (1 / (2 * m)) * np.sum((y_pred - y_true)**2)
l2_term = (self.l2_penalty / (2 * m)) * np.sum(weights**2)
return loss + l2_term
def match(self, X_train, y_train, X_val=None, y_val=None):
n_samples, n_features = X_train.form
self.weights = np.zeros(n_features)
self.bias = 0
for i in vary(self.n_iterations):
y_pred = np.dot(X_train, self.weights) + self.bias
dw = (1 / n_samples) * np.dot(X_train.T, (y_pred - y_train)) + (self.l2_penalty / n_samples) * self.weights
db = (1 / n_samples) * np.sum(y_pred - y_train)
loss = self._mse_loss(y_train, y_pred, self.weights)
gradient = np.concatenate([dw, [db]])
grad_norm = np.linalg.norm(gradient)
# replace historical past
self.historical past['weight'].append(self.weights[0])
self.historical past['loss'].append(loss)
self.historical past['grad_norm'].append(grad_norm)
self.historical past['bias'].append(self.bias)
# descent
self.weights -= self.learning_rate * dw
self.bias -= self.learning_rate * db
if X_val will not be None and y_val will not be None:
val_y_pred = np.dot(X_val, self.weights) + self.bias
val_loss = self._mse_loss(y_val, val_y_pred, self.weights)
self.historical past['val_loss'].append(val_loss)
if val_loss < self.best_val_loss - self.tol:
self.best_val_loss = val_loss
self.best_weights = self.weights.copy()
self.best_bias = self.bias
self.epochs_no_improve = 0
else:
self.epochs_no_improve += 1
if self.epochs_no_improve >= self.persistence:
print(f"Early stopping at iteration {i+1} (validation loss didn't enhance for {self.persistence} epochs)")
self.weights = self.best_weights
self.bias = self.best_bias
break
if (i + 1) % 100 == 0:
print(f"Iteration {i+1}/{self.n_iterations}, Loss: {loss:.4f}", finish="")
if X_val will not be None:
print(f", Validation Loss: {val_loss:.4f}")
else:
cross
def predict(self, X_test):
return np.dot(X_test, self.weights) + self.bias
3. Prediction & Evaluation
mannequin = BatchGradientDescentLinearRegressor(learning_rate=0.001, n_iterations=10000, l2_penalty=0, tol=1e-5, persistence=5)
mannequin.match(X_train_processed, y_train.values)
y_pred = mannequin.predict(X_test_processed)
Output:
Of the 5 enter options, per_capita_income
confirmed the best correlation with the transaction quantity:
(Left: Weight by enter options (Backside: extra transaction), Proper: Price perform (learning_rate=0.001, i=10,000, m=50,000, n=5))
Imply Squared Error (MSE): 1.5752
R-squared: 0.0206
Imply Absolute Error (MAE): 1.0472
Time complexity: Coaching: O(n²m+n³) + Prediction: O(n)
Area complexity: O(nm)
(m: coaching instance dimension, n: enter function dimension, assuming m >>> n)
Stochastic Gradient Descent
Batch GD makes use of the complete coaching dataset to compute gradient in every iteration step (epoch), which is computationally costly particularly when now we have hundreds of thousands of dataset.
Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD) then again,
- usually shuffles the coaching information in the beginning of every epoch,
- randomly choose a single coaching instance in every iteration,
- calculates the gradient utilizing the instance, and
- updates the mannequin’s weights and bias after processing every particular person coaching instance.
This ends in many weight updates per epoch (equal to the variety of coaching samples), many fast and computationally low cost updates based mostly on particular person information factors, permitting it to iterate by means of massive datasets a lot sooner.
Simulation
Just like Batch GD, we’ll outline the SGD class and run the prediction:
class StochasticGradientDescentLinearRegressor:
def __init__(self, learning_rate=0.01, n_iterations=100, l2_penalty=0.01, random_state=None):
self.learning_rate = learning_rate
self.n_iterations = n_iterations
self.l2_penalty = l2_penalty
self.random_state = random_state
self._rng = np.random.default_rng(seed=random_state)
self.weights_history = []
self.bias_history = []
self.loss_history = []
self.weights = None
self.bias = None
def _mse_loss_single(self, y_true, y_pred):
return 0.5 * (y_pred - y_true)**2
def match(self, X, y):
n_samples, n_features = X.form
self.weights = self._rng.random(n_features)
self.bias = 0.0
for epoch in vary(self.n_iterations):
permutation = self._rng.permutation(n_samples)
X_shuffled = X[permutation]
y_shuffled = y[permutation]
epoch_loss = 0
for i in vary(n_samples):
xi = X_shuffled[i]
yi = y_shuffled[i]
y_pred = np.dot(xi, self.weights) + self.bias
dw = xi * (y_pred - yi) + self.l2_penalty * self.weights
db = y_pred - yi
self.weights -= self.learning_rate * dw
self.bias -= self.learning_rate * db
epoch_loss += self._mse_loss_single(yi, y_pred)
if n_features >= 2:
self.weights_history.append(self.weights[:2].copy())
elif n_features == 1:
self.weights_history.append(np.array([self.weights[0], 0]))
self.bias_history.append(self.bias)
self.loss_history.append(self._mse_loss_single(yi, y_pred) + (self.l2_penalty / (2 * n_samples)) * (np.sum(self.weights**2) + self.bias**2)) # Approx L2
print(f"Epoch {epoch+1}/{self.n_iterations}, Loss: {epoch_loss/n_samples:.4f}")
def predict(self, X):
return np.dot(X, self.weights) + self.bias
mannequin = StochasticGradientDescentLinearRegressor(learning_rate=0.001, n_iterations=200, random_state=42)
mannequin.match(X=X_train_processed, y=y_train.values)
y_pred = mannequin.predict(X_test_processed)
Output:
Left: Weight by enter options, Proper: Price perform (learning_rate=0.001, i=200, m=50,000, n=5)
SGD launched randomness into the optimization course of (fig. proper).
This “noise” may help the algorithm soar out of shallow native minima or saddle factors and probably discover higher areas of the parameter house.
Outcomes:
Imply Squared Error (MSE): 1.5808
R-squared: 0.0172
Imply Absolute Error (MAE): 1.0475
Time complexity: Coaching: O(n²m+n³) + Prediction: O(n)
Area complexity: O(n) < BGD: O(nm)
(m: coaching instance dimension, n: enter function dimension, assuming m >>> n)
Conclusion
Whereas the easy linear mannequin is computationally environment friendly, its inherent simplicity typically prevents it from capturing complicated relationships throughout the information.
Contemplating the trade-offs of assorted modeling approaches towards particular targets is important for reaching optimum outcomes.
Reference
All photos, until in any other case famous, are by the creator.
The article makes use of artificial information, licensed under Apache 2.0 for commercial use.
Creator: Kuriko IWAI