I see many individuals say AI will take our jobs any time now, primarily based on the next narrative: the higher AI turns into, the much less corporations will want us, due to this fact we can be changed.
It’s an fascinating chain of thought, however does it have the empirical foundation to again it up? In different phrases, does actuality match the story? Nicely, it doesn’t appear so.
It’s widespread to have interaction on this form of dialogue with well-thought arguments, primarily based purely on conjectures, with out trying on the present physique of scientific work nor on the knowledge. I suggest we take a tour of these two dimensions, to see if we will study a factor or two from the empirical proof.
Earlier than we begin, there may be one hyperlink we have to set up: expertise will increase productiveness. Right here, we’re speaking from an economics perspective. Don’t assume “when I’ve my cellphone I can’t work as a lot”. Right here we’re trying extra at “the extra expertise on the planet, the extra we will produce with the identical quantity of labor”.
This phenomenon is defined by the power of expertise to automate duties, streamline processes, and facilitate the creation of recent services and products. The intrinsic connection between expertise and productiveness…