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    Home»Machine Learning»Can Machine Learning Predict Penny Stocks? A Risk-Reward Analysis | by Zhong Hong | Jan, 2025
    Machine Learning

    Can Machine Learning Predict Penny Stocks? A Risk-Reward Analysis | by Zhong Hong | Jan, 2025

    Team_AIBS NewsBy Team_AIBS NewsJanuary 21, 2025No Comments1 Min Read
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    Let’s stroll by the method of constructing a predictive mannequin for penny shares utilizing Python.

    Step 1: Import Libraries and Load Knowledge

    import pandas as pd
    import numpy as np
    from sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split
    from sklearn.ensemble import RandomForestClassifier
    from sklearn.metrics import accuracy_score

    # Load your penny inventory dataset
    information = pd.read_csv('penny_stocks.csv')
    information.head()

    Step 2: Function Engineering

    # Create technical indicators
    information['SMA_50'] = information['Close'].rolling(window=50).imply()
    information['SMA_200'] = information['Close'].rolling(window=200).imply()
    information['RSI'] = compute_rsi(information['Close']) # Customized perform for RSI

    # Drop NaN values
    information.dropna(inplace=True)

    Step 3: Prepare-Take a look at Break up

    X = information[['SMA_50', 'SMA_200', 'RSI', 'Volume']]
    y = information['Target'] # 1 for worth improve, 0 for worth lower

    X_train, X_test, y_train, y_test = train_test_split(X, y, test_size=0.2, random_state=42)

    Step 4: Prepare the Mannequin

    mannequin = RandomForestClassifier(n_estimators=100, random_state=42)
    mannequin.match(X_train, y_train)

    Step 5: Consider the Mannequin

    y_pred = mannequin.predict(X_test)
    accuracy = accuracy_score(y_test, y_pred)
    print(f"Mannequin Accuracy: {accuracy:.2f}")

    This fundamental Random Forest mannequin offers a place to begin. For extra superior methods, take into account deep studying or ensemble strategies.



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